2011年10月11日星期二

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the spread number. NFL Bye weeks have been a huge question for cappers and bettors alike
since the NFL began using them in the mid 1980's. The Commissioner's office always finds
ways for you to beat the books.Team by Team NumbersThe NFL is loaded with talent
from top to bottom. Mike Holmgren and co. Moving on, in the 2001-2002 season clubs
coming off the bye week were still not profitable their first game back as they
boasted a 14-17 mark vs. have yet to win a ballgame against the number coming
off his teams' bye week the last 5 years. The betting public has the perception
that teams have had an extra week of rest to recover from the previous weeks
and have had an extra week for their coaching staff to prepare for an opposing
team who has had only one week to game plan. Notice a trend here? In
the 2002-2003 season the bye week teams' record the following week was still a losing
15-16-1. This brings us to oddsmaking 101.Oddsmaking 101NFL Oddsmakers base opening lines not solely on
statistical numbers, injuries Nike Tn or coaching and player advantages; they also factor in public perception. In
simple English, they know the Public loves to bet on teams coming off by weeks
hence they shade line away from that team. The Sea Animals are followed by Cincinnati,
Green Bay, New York (Giants) Carolina, Atlanta and Indianapolis.Remember when you're looking at teams that
have just had a bye week that it's not an instant recipe for success. The
Seahawks are a dismal 0-5. In fact, after digging into this issue some more, the
results will amaze you as the off time may not be so beneficial after all.Year
by Year...In the 2000-2001 season, the year of the Rams, NFL teams coming off a
bye week were a dismal 12-17-1 their first game back against the posted line. Of
course, we wouldn't leave you on such a sour note as there is light at
the end of the tunnel for many of you bye week lovers. Our study shows
that oddsmakers sap the value of bye week clubs the following week as they understand
public perception best, they understand the chaussures puma public's perception of teams coming off bye weeks. Underdogs
were an equally dismal proposition at 26-36 against the spread for a lower win percentage
of just 41%.Our numbers surprise some, but overall they actually make perfect sense. Many of
these players and coaching staffs have developed ways to taking advantage of the much anticipated
time off week.Over the past 5 years only a handful of these teams exist, nonetheless
they are out there and we found them for you. Of course we all know
common sense is not exactly the straight way to the winners circle in the NFL.
LaDanian Tomlinson, Donovan McNabb, Terrell Owens, Brett Favre and so on and so on. Heading
up this list are the Seattle Seahawks. Last year resorted back to the same numbers
we discovered in the 2000-2003 seasons, as teams were just 15-17. As always, Bet Sharp,
Play Sharp.Bob Aggarwal is a documented member of the Professional Handicappers League. The Miami Dolphins
head up the list at 4-0-1 the past 5 years against the spread. the number.
Overall, the last 5 years NFL teams coming off bye weeks were a dismal 69-85
against the spread.When we dug further, we found out that teams listed as favorites coming
off the bye week were 41-47 against the spread for a winning percentage of just
46%. That mark was still minimal at 16-15-1 vs. They are followed by Philadelphia, Baltimore,
San Diego, Minnesota and Denver all at 4-1 ATS.Likewise there are those teams that just
cannot get it together after some lazy time off. Some teams have learned to capitalize
on a bye week and some teams have yet to capitalize on the much-needed rest.
The 2003-2004 was the only season during our 5 year study that produced a profitable
record when betting on teams coming off the week. Common sense would tell you clubs
coming off bye weeks have had an extra week of rest to recover from the
brutal NFL schedule and an extra week for their coaching staff and team to prepare
for an opposing team who has had only one week to get ready to rumble.
That's a terrible winning percentage of just 40%. Read all of his articles at [http://www.procappers.com/Bob_Aggarwal.htm].

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